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2024-12-13 11:39:53

The central parity of RMB against the US dollar was reported at 7.1876, down by 22 points; The median price of the previous trading day was 7.1854, the official closing price of the previous trading day was 7.2630, and it closed at 7.2700 last night.Real estate stocks of Hong Kong stocks weakened, and Sunac China fell more than 4%. As of press time, Sunac China (01918.HK) fell by 4.03%, Rongxin China (03301.HK) fell by 3.85%, and Longhu Group (00960.HK) fell by 2.43%.The central bank's open market today launched a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 205.1 billion yuan, and the operating interest rate was flat at 1.50%. Today, 190.9 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repurchase expired, and the net investment on that day was 14.2 billion yuan.


Guotai Junan: Pay attention to the investment opportunities in liquor, beverages, popular food and other fields. Guotai Junan Research Report pointed out that 1) Liquor: Determine ahead of growth, pay attention to the wholesale price trend and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. The report end of liquor industry began to enter the downward period in the second quarter of 2024, and the bottom shock is expected in the first half of 2025. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period. 2) Beer and beverage: the performance of beer is divided and the beverage structure is prosperous. In the third quarter of 2024, the number of trips in the summer peak season was stronger than the price, and the number of trips maintained a recovery and growth trend. The beverages with low-cost/high-frequency consumption characteristics benefited significantly and the demand resilience was prominent; The regional brand of beer performance differentiation is better than the national brand, and it is expected to be repaired under the low expectation in 2025. It is expected that the passive upgrading trend and regional brand advantages will continue. 3) Popular food: marginal improvement and structural differentiation. Mass food improved marginally in the third quarter, with obvious structural differentiation. The cost reduction is gradually reflected, low cost and low price become the trend, the advantages of high cost-effective products are highlighted, and the key layout is two ends; The valuation premium of growth stocks has been significantly digested, focusing on growth track snacks, and paying attention to adjusted condiments, catering supply chain and low valuation oversold and high dividend targets.Real estate stocks of Hong Kong stocks weakened, and Sunac China fell more than 4%. As of press time, Sunac China (01918.HK) fell by 4.03%, Rongxin China (03301.HK) fell by 3.85%, and Longhu Group (00960.HK) fell by 2.43%.Pacific Securities: The reversal of photovoltaic industry is about to focus on three directions. The Pacific Securities Research Report pointed out that with the continuous breakthrough of new markets and technologies, the new cycle of photovoltaic parity is accelerating, and the reversal of photovoltaic industry is about to begin. It is suggested to focus on three directions: 1) The new cycle of supply and demand is expected to start in 2025, the industry quotation and profit are expected to be restored, and the leading advantages will be gradually highlighted. In 2025, it is expected to usher in a new round of growth, including Longji Green Energy and Jingke Energy. 2) New technology fields with large cost reduction space and continuous technology iteration, such as GCL Technology and Perovskite, are expected to fully benefit; 3) The advantages of supporting facilities and leading enterprises are prominent, and emerging markets are expected to promote the rapid improvement of shipments and profits, and the advantages of leading enterprises will be further enhanced, and enterprises such as Sunshine Power and Foster are expected to fully benefit.


The turnover of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets exceeded 500 billion.The Hang Seng Index of Hong Kong stocks opened lower by 0.78%, the index of state-owned enterprises fell by 0.88%, and the branch index opened lower by 1.01%.Domestic insurance in Hong Kong stocks and Chinese brokerage stocks fluctuated lower, while domestic insurance in Hong Kong stocks and Chinese brokerage stocks fluctuated lower. Guolian Securities fell more than 5%, followed by New China Life Insurance, China Pacific Insurance, China Life Insurance, China Merchants Securities and china galaxy.

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